What is TRUMP'S Global Tariff Doing to Singaporean SMEs and Consumers?
Trade wars. Tariff battles.
You’ve heard the headlines — but what do they actually mean for businesses and consumers, especially in a trade-dependent country like Singapore?
What’s a Tariff?
A tariff is essentially a tax on imported goods. When a country imposes a tariff, it makes foreign goods more expensive, which can:
- Protect local industries from foreign competition
- Generate revenue for the government
- Influence trade relationships with other countries
Let’s break it down with an example:
Imagine you're a U.S. business importing a camera from China. The camera costs $100. If there’s a 54% tariff, you’ll pay $100 to the manufacturer and an extra $54 to the U.S. government.
So, your cost isn’t $100 anymore — it’s $154.
Now, since businesses need to turn a profit, you’d probably double that cost when selling it to retailers. They’ll mark it up again when selling it to consumers. End result? The consumer ends up paying much more for the same product.
The Trump Administration’s Tariff Strategy
Under the “America First” trade policy, the Trump administration introduced sweeping tariffs to:
- Reduce the U.S. trade deficit
- Bring manufacturing back to the U.S.
- Counter what it saw as unfair trade practices by other countries
A baseline 10% tariff was imposed on imports from nearly all countries. In addition, higher tariffs — some as high as 50%+ — were applied to countries with significant trade deficits with the U.S., like China.
To give you an idea, Chinese imports already facing a 20% tariff got hit with an additional 34%, bringing the total to 54%.
These tariffs were meant to be “reciprocal,” mirroring what the U.S. claimed other countries were charging American exports. However, the exact calculations have raised eyebrows — with some even jokingly suggesting they resemble outputs from AI tools like ChatGPT.
So, What’s the Impact on Singapore?
Singapore is the only Southeast Asian country with a trade surplus with the U.S. — and that makes us a special case.
Here’s how the tariffs affect us:
- Baseline 10% tariffs still apply, but key exports like semiconductors (30% of SG’s exports) and pharmaceuticals (8.3%) are currently exempted.
- However, as we’ve seen with policies like the TikTok ban, exemptions may not last forever. If these get lifted, Singapore’s key industries will take a direct hit.
On top of that, there are wider implications for:
SMEs & Investors:
- Singapore has so far avoided the reciprocal tariffs hitting neighboring countries.
- But fewer international investors might set up HQs here due to global trade instability, affecting jobs and growth opportunities.
Local Businesses & Consumers:
- Chinese goods affected by U.S. tariffs might flood Southeast Asian markets instead.
- That could squeeze profit margins for local businesses trying to stay competitive.
- Eventually, costs rise — and consumers like you and me feel the pinch.